
ISE REVIEW
Volume 1 No.4 October/November/December 1997 |
| Subjects |
|
|
|
|
Effects of Turkish Liberalization
Measures on Stock Prices
Ayse Yüce
Abstract
This paper examines the effect of Decree No. 32 of August 11, 1989 on the stock price
distributions of an emerging stock market: Istanbul Stock Exchange. After this date the
stock market removed the restrictions on foreign investors. It is shown that the mean of
stock price changes has stayed the same, but the variances changed significantly with this
government decision. The variances of the majority of the stock prices (36 out of 56)
increased after August 11, 1989. In both periods the price change distributions are
nonnormal and highly leptokurtic.
An Analysis of the Day of the
Week Effect on the Istanbul Stock Exchange
Kivilcim Metin, Gülnur Muradoglu, Bilgehan Yazici
Abstract
This paper examined the weak form of efficiency by using the random walk test and the day
of the week effect at Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) during the period 4 January 1988 - 27
December 1996. The random walk model is rejected for all periods under consideration and
test results provide an evidence in favour of the rejection of a weak form of efficiency.
Testing for the day of the week effect resulted that both Friday and Monday effects are
observed and thus, it is concluded that market is inefficient.
Causal Relations Among ISE, Inflation,
Interest Rates and Real Activity in Turkey:
A VAR Analysis
Nihal Kargi & Harun Terzi
Abstract
Using a vector-autoregression (VAR) approach, this paper investigates causal relations and
dynamic interactions among stock returns, inflation, interest rates, and real activity in
Turkey. Major empirical findings can be summarised as follows: (1) in the VAR system,
stock returns explain little variation in inflation, although interest rates explain a
substantial fraction of the variation in inflation; (2) inflation explains little
variation in real activity while it explains a substantial fraction of the variation in
stock returns, and (3) stock returns do not appear to explain real activity. All these
findings indicate that stock exchange market in Turkey does not offer a perfect hedge
against inflation.
Forecasting of Corporate
Performances on the Basis of Financial Indicators
A. Levent Alkan
Abstract
The main public facts are homogeneous inside of each nation. The financial highlights
describing each of the country economical conditions and the resistance power against
expected and unexpected fluctuations would change homogeneity in specific situations. The
nation is heterogeneous in the case of critical evaluations and expectations. Because of
that reason analytical consideration changed dramatically from country to country. The
main financial phenomenon like book-market equity, size effect, E/P and leverage is valid
for all national capital markets. But the applications of these concepts are different
from one country to another. The attitude definition of companies is homogeneous in each
nation, but it is heterogeneous in multi-national applications. Although most of the
phenomenon is transparent enough to be a guiding light for all nations but, the
applications of these are specific and unique to each nation.. Company profile could be
clarified using its fundamental financial indicators definitely. The accepted company
profile definition high performance and low performance cases are searched for two
different time intervals such as long term and short term. The short term and long term
high / low performance company definitions are designed separately. The performance
evaluation regarding to investors buying or selling decisions in ISE concluded that high
performance companies have a definite preferences for taking positions of any common
stock.
Copyright and Disclaimer 1996 Istanbul Stock Exchange